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Hurricane Center: Disturbance over Florida expected to enter Gulf of Mexico - NOLA.com

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The National Hurricane Center on Monday was tracking a disturbance over south Florida that's expected to enter the Gulf of Mexico. It's one of four active systems in the Atlantic and the Gulf, including Tropical Storm Beta off the coast of Texas.

The disturbance near south Florida has a 20% chance -- which the Hurricane Center says is low -- of development within five days. It is too early to tell if the system could impact the Gulf Coast.

Tropical Storm Beta weakens overnight; heavy rainfall expected in Louisiana, Texas

A flash flood watch is in effect until Wednesday night for southeast Louisiana.

Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Beta weakened overnight but is still expected to bring heavy rain and coastal flooding to Texas and Louisiana. A flash flood watch is in effect for New Orleans, Baton Rouge and Lafayette.

Plus, Hurricane Teddy is heading toward Nova Scotia and post-tropical cyclone Paulette could redevelop over the northern Atlantic.

Here's what to know about the tropics as of 7 a.m. Monday from the National Hurricane Center.

Disturbance heading for the Gulf of Mexico

Disturbance over Florida 7am Monday

image via National Hurricane Center

Forecasters are tracking an area of thunderstorms over southeastern Florida, the northwestern Bahamas and the Straits of Florida.

It's expected to move south over Cuba the next couple of days and then north Thursday through Saturday, forecasters said.

Upper-level winds are expected to become marginally conducive for development by Thursday and Friday when the disturbance is expected to be near the Florida Keys and south Florida, forecasters said.

Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is expected Monday across portions of south Florida and the Florida Keys and on Tuesday and Wednesday over western Cuba.

The disturbance has a 20% chance of developing into at least a tropical depression within five days.

Read the latest.

Tropical Storm Beta

Tropical Storm Beta 7am Monday track

image via National Hurricane Center

Tropical Storm Beta weakened overnight as it moved closer to the Texas coast, forecasters said.

As of 7 a.m., it was about 70 miles southeast of Port O'Connor, Texas, and about 120 miles southwest of Galveston, Texas.

Beta is moving west at 6 mph and is expected to slow down Tuesday and take a sharp turn north. On the forecast track, the center of Beta will continue to move toward the central coast of Texas and will likely move inland Monday night. Beta is forecast to remain close to the coast of southeastern Texas on Tuesday.

It has weakened to 50 mph, and additional weakening is expected once it moves inland.

See the local watches and warnings for Beta.

Read the latest about Tropical Storm Beta.

Hurricane Teddy

Hurricane Teddy 7am Monday track

image via National Hurricane Center

Hurricane Teddy, a large, Category 2 storm, continues to head north in the Atlantic.

As of 7 a.m., it was about 160 miles southeast of Bermuda and was moving northeast at 9 mph. On the forecast path, the center of Teddy will pass east of Bermuda Monday, and then approach Nova Scotia late Tuesday or early Wednesday.

It has winds of 100 mph. Gradual weakening is forecast to begin mid-week, forecasters said, but the cyclone is expected to remain a large and powerful hurricane Tuesday. It's forecast to become a strong post-tropical cyclone when it nears Nova Scotia by Wednesday morning.

Read the latest about Teddy.

Paulette could redevelop in Atlantic

Paulette 7am Monday

image via National Hurricane Center

Paulette, once a hurricane in the Atlantic, could redevelop this week, forecasters said.

It is producing a small area of showers and thunderstorms, not far to the northeast of its center of circulation.

It's moving east at 10 to 15 mph, and forecasters said the system could become a tropical or subtropical cyclone Monday or Tuesday.

It has a 60% chance of developing into at least a tropical storm within five days. 

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